Global Real Estate Industry
The global real estate management and development industry is a sub-part of thefinancial services industry).
Commercial Real Estate Market Research
The next five-year period will see demand forcommercial real estaterebound,following a dip caused by the credit crisis.During the crisis,demand in developing markets,such as India and China,helped to make up for lower demand in developed countries.Improving economic conditions in emerging markets due to increased construction activity and lower unemployment will continue to contribute to the global commercial real estate market.The industry buys,rents,sells and manages (property management) both leased and privately owned real estate,including non-residential building and apartment buildings.Other related services include property appraisal,brokerage,and property development.
The US commercial real estate market (which also includes theindustrial real estate business) is estimated to be worth more than $4.5 trillion.Long-term investors,brokers,and estate developers hold as much as 90% of the overall market.The public market represents almost $23.5 trillion,while the private market is worth just over $17 trillion.The public market is comprised of almost 59% debt,over 40% equities,and less than 1% real estate.The private market is made up of over 65% debt,28% real estate,and under 7% equities.
Residential Real Estate Market
Worldwidedemand for new housingwill grow,as the construction industry rebounds.Africa-Mideast will show the fastest rate of emerging nation growth at close to 4%,with the construction of 11 million units.Asia-Pacific will lead in terms of volume.
TheChinese residential property marketwill be driven by a high degree of urbanization,following continued recovery after the economic crisis,aided by government spending in the sector and rising demand.The market will equally benefit from state measures to limit climbing domestic real estate prices as the government seeks to expand affordable housing.
Real Estate Market Outlook
All types of property and all regions in the global real estate market are in recovery,according to the Rosenberg Real Estate Equity Funds (RREEF).The market is predicted to see a continued recovery.
Moving forward,the main industry trends will come from urbanization in developing countries and an aging global population.The rate of urbanization in emerging economies is rising as a traditionally rural workforce moves to cities in search of employment and higher levels of education lead to a shift in employment towards offices.While certain countries,such as the US,will limit the impact of aging demographics through immigration and a bigger younger generation,other developed countries will see rising numbers of retired people,which will impact the number of people working in offices,housing trends and the level of discretionary spending,which will in turn impact warehouses and retail spaces.
RREEF predicts performance and risk will be high in the Asia-Pacific region,while the US will show average returns at lower financial risk.The EU is expected to fall behind the global rate of return with slow growth and moderate risk.